All market scenarios
Ten callers · 24h Cohort

Ten markets over one day, start to finish

Market scenario · follow the readings from start to finish.

[ Overview ]

A market scenario of the first cohort: ten callers, one 24-hour market each, all listed flat at 50c and all resolved from the same evidence. What the first day is built to look like.

[ Categorized ]
OpenSettlement$HOODSIGNALBoth windowsUSDG
10
Markets in the cohort

One per listed caller, opened together and closed together, each on the sign of that caller's PnL over the window.

288
Readings behind a day

Five minutes apart, every one written to its own file with its time and its source, and every one published.

0
Voids in this scenario

No gap in the snapshots, no stale resolver, no opt-out. Every one of the ten had the evidence to settle on.

Settlement log · day one

A protocol that always settles is a protocol that will sometimes settle on a number it cannot defend. The first ten did not have to test that, but the void path is in the contract rather than in a promise.
HOODSIGNAL keeper · Reads the board every five minutes
[ The details ]

The cohort

The ten traders at the top of fomo's board were listed at the same moment, each with a one-day and a seven-day market. Listing is permissionless, so none of them were asked, and any of them can end it with one signature.

Every market opened at exactly 50c a side. With no flow yet the protocol has to quote something, and over 24 hours the difference between a good trader and a lucky one is almost entirely noise. Opening flat says what is actually known and lets the first trades do the estimating.

  • Seeded with $10.00 of liquidity each.
  • Priced by a fixed-product market maker, so there is a live price even on an untouched market.
  • A share costs p and redeems for exactly 1 USDG if it wins, which makes the price the probability.

How the day ran

The keeper held a logged-in session for the whole window and never stopped reading. Each reading landed as a file rather than a row in a database, because a settlement that commits the hash of a file nobody can read proves nothing to anyone.

At the close the settlement job took the median of the three snapshots nearest that moment for each market, compared it to the baseline recorded at the open, and posted ten outcomes with ten hashes.

The seven-day markets on the same ten callers stayed open. Further templates are already defined in the protocol: activity markets on whether a caller opens a new position, target-return and range-bound markets shaped by their volatility, streaks, and head to head pairs.

None of those change the machinery below them. They list once the launch pair has volume.

What came next

The first cohort is ten callers with a one-day and a seven-day market each, opening together when the oracle goes live.

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